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January 31, 2008

Lobbying for Monk

By Matthew Sprague, Eagle sports editor

For the next year, you're going to hear every political candidate, television talking head and long-time-listener,-first-time-caller espouse their strong beliefs on many important subjects relevant to our daily lives in the United States of America.

I won't be one of them.

It's not that I'm a warped nihilist or anything along those lines. It's just that I feel most strongly about issues that really don't pertain to the average American's daily life. Some of my most fervent beliefs are as follows:

- "Airplane!" is the funniest movie ever made. Anyone who doesn't agree doesn't know humor.
- If you're going to a concert, don't wear that band's t-shirt or listen to their music en route to the show.
- Art Monk should be in the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

Of these three statements, the latter has sparked serious debate for at least the last five years. Nowhere, however, is that debate more important than the room full of Hall of Fame voters, who meet annually before the Super Bowl to determine that year's induction class. They'll meet again this weekend.

For many years, Monk — a 16-year veteran wide receiver for the Washington Redskins, New York Jets and Philadelphia Eagles — has been eligible. He's been passed over every year.

There might not be another candidate for the Hall, however, with as rabid of a fan base. Monk's supporters have done all the talking — well, shouting — in support of his candidacy. They've started Web sites; they've e-mailed, called and written every Hall voter; they've even collected videos of what must be every one of his 940 career receptions and uploaded them to YouTube.com. Here's a sample.

Do the fans' emotions factor into the Hall vote, in which a candidate needs to survive numerous cuts and get at least 80 percent of the 40-some-odd voters to give him a 'yes'? Some would say no, some would say yes.

The 'yes' camp would point to comments made by Sports Illustrated writers and Hall voters Peter King and Paul Zimmerman in the last two years. They've been considered by many Monk supporters to be the most influential in the anti-Monk group.
However, both King and Zimmerman have stated that they have re-examined Monk's candidacy and decided to vote 'yes.' They've also acknowledged that they've been inundated by communications from pro-Monk readers.

As a football fan, I wouldn't ever go this far. However, knowing my duty as a journalist, I won't deprive you of the whole story here. In the interest of full disclosure, I should tell you that, as a preteen, I was a "silver club" camper at the annual Art Monk Football Camp, held in Westminster, Md. and Bridgewater, Va.

The small and grainy, yet damning photographic proof:

Now that we have that out of the way, I'll make my own arguments for Monk's induction.

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It's obvious that, in this day and age of improved passers and ball-catchers, as well as more sophisticated passing attacks, wide receivers' career statistics may very well be obsolete just 10 to 15 years after their retirements. This hurts Monk. His 940 career receptions, 12,721 receiving yards and 183 consecutive games with at least one reception looked a lot better on paper when he retired after the 1995 season.

Now, however, he's being passed by many receivers. He retired as the leader in career receptions; he's now seventh, having recently been passed by St. Louis Rams lifer Isaac Bruce. He retired with the record for consecutive games with one catch; he's been passed — nay, obliterated — by Jerry Rice, who caught a pass in 274 straight games.

This is a given. Records, after all, are meant to be broken. Rice, who will certainly be a first-ballot Hall of Famer when he's eligible in 2010, holds so many receiving records that it almost defies logic. Many consider him the greatest receiver of all time.

If it takes the greatest receiver of all time — who, by the way, now holds the career receptions record Monk once held — to break your marks, doesn't that at least earn you a mention as one of the greatest? (Unless you were the first one there, which Monk wasn't.)

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Another record Monk once held was the most receptions in a single season, with 106 in 1984. He was the only 1,000-yard receiver on the team which also featured a 1,000-yard rusher — Hall of Famer John Riggins. The 'Skins passed for more yards than they rushed for that year, so it can't be successfully argued that it was a run-first team.

However, sifting through NFL receiving statistics, one will find that Monk's 1984 season was the first 100-catch season since Charley Hennigan caught 101 passes in 1964 for the Houston Oilers. Nobody caught 100 passes in a season again until 1990, when — you guessed it — Rice hit triple digits.

Obviously, in Monk's era, 100 catches was a rarity. Heck, two years before Monk's record-breaking season, San Francisco's Dwight Clark (of "The Catch" fame) led the league with just 60 receptions.

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Comparing Monk's statistics to the last three receivers elected to the Hall — Michael Irvin (2007), James Lofton (2003) and John Stallworth (2002) — his candidacy should be strengthened. His stats are comparable to Lofton's, and in many areas are better than those of Irvin and Stallworth, though Monk played more years than both.

It's harder, however, to get receivers in the Hall these days. Not counting tight ends, only five have been inducted in the last 10 years, as opposed to eight quarterbacks and 13 linemen. Even Lofton and Stallworth, as well as Stallworth's Steelers teammate Lynn Swann, had to wait a while before they were inducted.

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With this in mind, it should be noted that two other receivers are among the Hall finalists this year alongside Monk — Cris Carter and Andre Reed. Many think their inclusion will ultimately doom Monk to waiting for induction by the Veterans' Committee, never a sure thing.

Carter, who played 16 years with the Eagles, Vikings and Dolphins, has Monk on receiving yards (13,899 to 12,721) and touchdowns (130 to 68). Monk, however, averaged 13.5 yards per catch to Carter's 12.6.

Reed also played 16 seasons with the Bills and Redskins. He's also got Monk on several statistics, but by slimmer margins. Monk had one more 1,000-yard receiving season than Reed (five to four). That isn't that impressive of a margin, but one thing should be taken into consideration: Number of Super Bowl rings. That count: Monk 3, Reed 0, Carter 0.

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Monk's three Pro Bowl selections have been used as a negative. Irvin, for example, went to five. Lofton went to eight.

That's nice, but try these on for size: Riggins, a Hall of Famer, went to one. Jim Kelly, a Hall of Famer, went to four. Ozzie Newsome, a Hall of Famer, went to three.

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Monk was named to the NFL's 1980s "All-Decade Team." Of the four receivers on the roster, two — Lofton and Steve Largent — are in the Hall. Monk and Rice are the other receivers, and it's (seemingly) a given that Rice will be in the Hall as soon as he's eligible.

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The more opinionated, less fact-based arguments:

- It was said by many that Monk shouldn't get in until Irvin got in. Well, Irvin's in.

- It's been said that Monk's "Posse" teammates Gary Clark and Ricky Sanders were the real threats in the Redskins receiving corps in the 1980s and 1990s. Sure, Clark and Sanders were the flashier deep threats. If Doug Williams, Jay Schroeder, Stan Humphries, Mark Rypien, etc. were looking for an 11-yard in route on a third-and-9, however, they'd go to Monk. He was the mold from which receivers like possession receivers like Keyshawn Johnson and Marvin Harrison were built.

- Monk was, as offensive players went, the constant on four Redskins Super Bowl teams (wins in the 1982, 1987 and 1991 seasons and a loss in the 1983 season). No matter the quarterback — and there were many of them — Monk was there to make catch after catch. He's considered by many to be the quiet locker room leader on many of those Joe Gibbs-led Redskins teams, which should count for something.

- A few quotes from people who know about these sorts of things:

''Art should have been in a long time ago." - Andre Reed, quoted in a Jan. 17 story from the Allentown Morning Call

"There's no doubt [Monk] was one of the best receivers to ever play the game and it's an honor to break his record. Art Monk, he was an ideal receiver." - Jerry Rice, quoted in an Oct. 25, 1998 story after breaking Monk's career reception record

"Art Monk was an example for Jerry Rice. That's what Jerry always told me. ... If he doesn't get in, it doesn't make sense." - Hall of Famer Ronnie Lott, quoted in a Feb. 2, 2002 story from the Westchester Journal News

"Art Monk ... I still can't believe he's not in." - Hall of Famer Jim Kelly, at the Hall inductee announcement on Feb. 3, 2007

"But when you catch a lot of passes and win Super Bowls, you should be a lock." - Hall of Famer Michael Irvin, who answered the question "Who is not in the Hall of Fame now who should be?" with Monk's name in a June 11, 2006 interview in the Monroe News Star

"Can y'all please get Art Monk in the Hall of Fame? He's one of the greatest receivers ever." - Giants receiver Plaxico Burress, to a group of reporters during Super Bowl week (quoted from Wednesday's Pittsburgh Tribune-Review)

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There are more important things to be discussed this year, of course. After all, it's an election year. If there's one vote I'll be hanging on before November, however, it's the vote of the 40-some-odd football writers and broadcasters the week of the Super Bowl, deciding who gets a bust and an ugly-looking yellowish blazer for a career full of highlights.

A bust and a place in Canton, Ohio are long overdue for Art Monk.

*****
ADDENDUM, 5:40 p.m., Feb. 2: The bust and blazer will come this summer. Monk is one of six men voted today into the Pro Football Hall of Fame. -M.S.
*****

January 28, 2008

More on Taconic's Wes Ross

Wes Ross wasn’t the only one in the Pittsfield Schools up to a challenge when he transferred here from the American School for the Deaf, as noted in our Jan. 13 issue.

When he found out in September that Ross was transferring to Pittsfield, Pittsfield Schools athletic director Jim Abel, with the help of PHS principal Anne Beauregard, made sure Ross’ transition would be smooth.
“Obviously, we wanted him to be comfortable, and the coaches [to be] comfortable with the means of communication,” Abel said. “We met with the coaching staff, Wes and some people [who] were mentors to him.”
The toughest part for Abel was securing a waiver from the Massachusetts Interscholastic Athletic Association (MIAA) for Ross, 19, to wrestle for Taconic High School. Anyone over the age of 18 needs a waiver for MIAA competition.
Ross’ records from the American School For the Deaf, which included academic information, were also collected for the waiver application. The only sticking point would have been if Ross was larger than the average high school athlete, rather than the 189-pound wrestler he’s been for the Braves.
“They [the MIAA] don’t want a situation where someone’s stacking the deck in terms of [adding] someone who’s bigger and stronger,” Abel said. “A kid like Wes, if he’s wrestling a 15- or 16-year-old, that’s a pretty big difference in maturity level. They just wanted to make sure Wes wasn’t something like 6-foot-7 and 250 pounds.”
Pittsfield Schools also got the approval of the other athletic directors in Berkshire County for Ross to compete against their schools.
One thing that was important for the Pittsfield officials to convey to Ross — and perhaps something he was looking for in his transfer to Pittsfield — was that he would be treated as though he was no different than any other athlete trying to make a team.
“Like any other student, we couldn’t guarantee a spot,” Abel said. “But he fit the criteria not only as a wrestler, but with grades. It wasn’t a concern, but we spelled it out to him from day one that he’s in the same boat as any other athlete as far as what’s expected from him.
“I think he appreciates that, and that’s part of the experience for him, to be in a traditional athletic program. It’s not only good for him, but it’s good for the other kids he’s teammates with.”
- Matthew Sprague, Eagle sports editor

January 19, 2008

Ice Fishing Derbies

2008 Ice Fishing Derbies
Dates Organization Lake Contact No./Name Time Adult/Child Notes

Jan. 27 Chatham Lions Club Queechy (N.Y.) (518) 392-6791/Al Meier 6 a.m.-3 p.m. $10/5 Live bait available for purchase

Feb. 2 Adams Outdoor for Youth Windsor Pond (413) 743-1510/Wayne Tinner Dawn-2 p.m. Free All kids win something. Trophy for largest fish.

Feb. 2 Pittsfield Winter Carnival Onota (413) 442-4260/Julie Salantino 7 a.m.-1:30 p.m. $5/Free

Feb. 3 Stockbridge Sportsmen’s Club Echo Lake (413) 298-3364/Skip Whalen 7 a.m.-1:30 p.m. $10/8

Feb. 9 Izaek Walton League Lwr. Spectacle (413) 269-4070/Christine Moretz 7 a.m.-1 p.m. $10 $500 first, $300 second, $200 third

Feb. 9 Great Barrington Fish & Game Mercers Pond (413) 528-9556/Parker 7 a.m.-2 p.m. $10/5 All kids win something. Includes spaghetti dinner.

Feb. 9 Ashfield Rod & Gun Club (Kid’s Derby) Ashfield (413) 628-4400/Joe Miraglia 8 a.m.-Noon $5 All kids win something.

Feb. 10 Jimmy Fund Onota (413) 822-2745/Leo Kruckowski 6 a.m.-2 p.m. $10/5 Includes dinner @ clubhouse

Feb. 10 Lee Sportsmen’s Association Queechy (N.Y.) (413) 243-9721/Clubhouse 6 a.m.-2 p.m. $10/7 Includes cash prizes, raffle and hot food

Feb. 10 Canaan Conservation Club Goose Pond (518) 392-6037/Dave Carpenter 6 a.m.-1 p.m. $10/5

Feb. 17 Cheshire Rod & Gun Club Cheshire (413) 743-3700/Ron Lancia Daybreak-5 p.m. $10/Free

Feb. 17 Lenox Sportsmen’s Club Stockbridge (413) 442-6073/Fred Ostrander 6 a.m.-2 p.m. $10/Free

Feb. 17 The Locker Room (Lee Youth Football) Laurel (413) 243-2662/Don Lucy Dawn-2 p.m. $10/5 All kids win something. Includes pasta dinner.

Feb. 23 Josh Snyder Derby Cheshire (413) 743-0939/Bryan Kopala Midnight-5 p.m. $20/20 Cost includes dinner

Feb. 23-24 Deerfield Valley Sportsmen’s Club Harriman (Vt.) (802) 368-2277/Jennifer McNeary 7 a.m.-3 p.m. $32/8 ATV & Auger raffle

Feb. 24 Onota Fishing Club (Gelaznik Derby) Onota (413) 442-6356/Ray W. 6 a.m.-1 p.m. $10/5 Includes breakfast, lunch and prizes

Mar. 1 Mountain Club (6 Anthony St.) Cheshire (413) 743-3600/Chuck Daybreak-4 p.m. $6`1st lake only, 100 percent of fees paid out

Mar. 2 Tom Wren Memorial (Mike Ciaburn) Pontoosuc (413) 665-0282/Mike Ciaburri 5 a.m.-3 p.m. $10/5 100 percent of fees paid out

Mar. 9 Wayne Mickle Mem. (Myron Proper) Pontoosuc (413) 743-4945/Myron Proper 6 a.m.-5 p.m. $10/5 100 percent of fees paid out

January 17, 2008

Aussie Open -- Round 3

Chris Carlson 20, Matt Martinelli 18.

I took advantage of Murray's loss for another round, picking up a lone point while the 19 players remaining on either team won. I'll likely need it, as the three strongest looking players in the field look like they belong to my opponent. Roger Federer, to no one's surprise, looked untouchable in destroying Fabrice Santoro. Novak Djokovic, who tired toward the end of last year, looks fresh. And Maria Sharapova, a player I hate watching due to her penchant for needless unforced errors, looked as good as I've seen her against Lindsay Davenport. Sharapova wasn't spraying the ball, as she's prone to do. Nor was she struggling with her serve, another weakness. Her match with Henin appears an inevitability and terrifies me. The question does remain, however, if Sharapova can remain so patient against a better player. Davenport looked not one, but two steps slow in her match, so it was difficult to tell how great Sharapova was. In any case, I think Martinelli remains the favorite because Sharapova and Federer are my current favorites to win.

The main scare for either opponent in Round 2 was Elena Dementieva, who dropped the first set before righting herself against Anabel Medina Garrigues. David Nalbandian and Fernando Gonzalez both dropped a set before figuring things out as well. Forgive me for getting nervous about Nalbandian. First Patrick McEnroe said he appears slow and to have put on weight, and then Chris Fowler mentions that Nalbandian was injured while practicing with hitting-partner Marat Safin last week. Why would any player hoping to remain in the top 10 hang out with Safin? Is there any wonder wonder he's put on weight? He probably hasn't had a good night's sleep in the week leading up to the Aussie. Thank goodness Davydenko's playing with his pre-betting scandal form. Also, considering that gambling issue, should Fowler be laughing as he mentions that Roddick has a penchant for hitting the black jack tables? I'm certainly not accusing Roddick, but if anything, gambling should not be humorous to tennis folks these days. I know McEnroe didn't seem amused.

Round 3 upsets to watch -- Well, we didn't get any right in the second round, but that's why thy're called upsets. They aren't supposed to happen. You're not supposed to think they'll happen. But it's fun to discuss the chances. That Baghdatis-Safin match sure was something, though. Five sets of emotional tennis. Great stuff. I don't see anything really happening on the men's side this round, though, if forced, I'd take Sebastien Grosjean over James Blake. Blake's never struck me as the gutsy sort, while Grosjean is a gamer. But he's also coming off a five-setter while Blake is athletic and fresh. Hopefully I'm right, and I can coast on Murray's absence a little longer.

On the women's side, I can see some things happening. No. 17 Sahar Peer over No. 11 Elena Dementieva is one I expect. They've played three times, going three sets on each occasion, and Dementieve had trouble last round. Also, No. 2 seed Svetlana Kuznetsova is in for a heck of a match with No. Agnieszka Radwanska. The Young Polish girl is up-and-coming after winning the first tournament of her career in 2007. I didn't like the way Venus Williams played either, but Sania Mirza doesn't hit a big enough ball to hurt her.

For a refresher on the Martinelli-Carlson challenge:

MM -- Roger Federer, Fernando Gonzalez, Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray , Elena Dementieva, Serena Williams, Venus Williams, Ana Ivanovic and Maria Sharapova.
CC -- Andy Roddick, Nokolay Davydenko, Richard Gasquet, David Nalbandian, David Ferrer, Justine Henin, Jelana Jankovic, Anna Chakvetadze, Svetlana Kuznetsova and Daniela Hantuchova.

January 15, 2008

Aussie -- Round 2

Bet update -- Carlson 10, Martinelli 9. You've got to look at him as the favorite still, but we helped our cause early.

Matches to watch -- Lindsay Davenport vs. Maria Sharapova should be a semifinal, not a second-round match. Davenport looked rusty, but she also is gutsy enough to battle Sharapova from the back-court. Sharapova's win looked cleaner, but she still struggled with her serve. This is also my best shot for another Martinelli member to get bounced this round.

Bet update -- Carlson 10, Martinelli 9. You've got to look at him as the favorite still, but we helped our cause early.

Matches to watch -- Lindsay Davenport vs. Maria Sharapova should be a semifinal, not a second-round match. Davenport looked rusty, but she also is gutsy enough to battle Sharapova from the back-court. Sharapova's win looked cleaner, but she still struggled with her serve. This is also my best shot for another Martinelli member to get bounced this round.

Marcos Baghdatis vs. Marat Safin. Two years removed from his breakthrough run to the Aussie Open final, we're waiting for Baghdatis to prove that was a legitimate moment. He followed that up with a run to the semfinals at Wimbledon, but his best major finish last year was at the Wimbledon quarters. He was so excited two years ago that you've got to wonder if he's gotten serious enough or if he's spent too much time enjoying his success. Speaking of enjoying success, he'll match up with Safin, a notorious partier who squandered immense talent. Still, he's made the finals here out of nowhere twice, including 2005, when he won the whole thing. This match-up kept both Martinelli and I away from Baghadatis.

Upset specials -- We'll start with Davenport over Sharapova and Safin over Baghdatis, but those wouldn't really shake things up too much. Tathiana Garbin over No. 4 Ana Ivanovic could happen. Garbin's ranked No. 40 and dispatched Eleni Daniilidou with no issues. Daniilidou had advanced to the finals of the Hobart Invitational during her tune-up.

On the men's side, I worry about my guy Richard Gasquet facing Feliciano Lopez in the second round. Lopez is a Spaniard, but he's not the clay-court specialist that we've come to expect that country to produce. Ranked 37th in the world, some of his best major results have come on hard-courts, as have most of his appearances in finals. Gasquet's major pedigree, meanwhile, is littered with early losses.

January 14, 2008

Thoughts on Podres

The impact felt by Johnny Podres’ MVP-caliber performance in the 1955 World Series extended far beyond Brooklyn, N.Y.

My father Dale Sprague, a high school football coach in Springfield, Ill. who grew up in the same area of New York’s north country as Podres, may have said it best.

“Johnny, to all of us in upstate New York, was a hero,” he said.

Indeed, Podres — who died Sunday in Glens Falls, N.Y. at age 75 — may have been the most famous athlete to emerge from Essex County. His successes always made their way back to my family’s home area, my first home.

Podres’ father and my great-grandfather mined iron ore together for Republic Steel in Moriah, Port Henry, Mineville and Podres’ hometown of Witherbee, N.Y. They also played baseball together for the town team in Moriah.

It was Johnny Podres, though, who made the biggest waves. With a stunning changeup and effective fastball, Podres became the unlikely hero in 1955 when he helped rally the Dodgers from a 2-0 World Series deficit, winning Game 3 and the clinching seventh game to give Brooklyn its only world championship.

When his pitching career ended after the 1969 season, Podres began to tutor some of the best arms in the game. As the pitching coach for the Minnesota Twins, he showed Frank Viola the secrets of his changeup — which led to a world title in 1987. With the Philadelphia Phillies, Podres coached a young starter acquired from Houston named Curt Schilling.

It was in Philadelphia that Schilling, under Podres’ tutelage, became the big-game pitcher that led the 2001 Diamondbacks and the Red Sox of 2004 and 2007 to World Series wins.

That fact wasn’t lost on Schilling, as noted in his 38pitches.com blog.

“We spoke often about ‘big games’ and he instilled this belief in me, even before I had a chance to pitch in a truly big game, that when the time came I’d answer the bell,” Schilling wrote. “The post season success I’ve been blessed to enjoy I’ve always known to be a direct result of who and what he was. I’ve never in my life run across anyone that didn’t have something kind and good to say about him, and after knowing him the past 17 years I know why.”

When I first learned of Podres’ death Sunday night, I knew my father would be affected the most. Monday, Dad couldn’t say enough kind words about both Podres and his sons John Jr. and Joseph — who Dad coached at Moriah Central High School from 1980-82.

“As good of a curve as he had ... he had the best changeup in the major leagues,” Dad said of Podres. “The last out of the ’55 Series, he threw a changeup to Elston Howard. Howard kept fouling off his fastball.”

Those Dodgers were such a close-knit group that they would often get together between seasons. One of the stories my father will often tell when speaking about Podres is one passed down through the Sprague family.

It seems that, one offseason following Jackie Robinson’s retirement in 1956, Podres brought the Dodgers legend hunting for deer in the Adirondack mountains — and lost him in the woods.

“They hunted for two or three hours [for him],” Dad said. “Johnny’s brother [nicknamed] Smock said to him, ‘You bring one of the greatest heroes in the world of sport up to northern New York to go deer hunting, and you lose him!’ ”

Podres couldn’t make too many of his sons’ high school baseball games in the spring, since he’d already have headed south for spring training with the Twins. Still, he’d come to practices when he could, according to my father. He’d work with all the players — not just his sons — teaching them the same changeup that helped him win in 1955 and helped Viola win in ’87.

His sons, however, naturally picked up some of their father’s talents.

“Both of those boys could play anything,” my father said. “Joe was a left-handed hitter who swung just like his father. He was a good contact hitter, but he’d surprise you with how he could pop one for power every once in a while.”

Podres’ accomplishments were never lost on his home area. The field at Moriah Central School is named after him.

“[He was] a guy who loved life and lived it to the fullest,” my father said. “John was the kind of guy who was happy-go-lucky. He was a lot older than I was, so I didn’t know him in the sense of going out and drinking beer, but he never knew a stranger. He always had time for you.”

- Matthew Sprague, Eagle sports editor

Aussie Open Preview

So much for our sports staff’s playoff punditry. A 50-50 record for the weekend.

But on Saturday night, feeling confident with two correct guesses under our belts, former sports writer/current sports special section designer Matt Martinelli and I decided to put a dinner at Patrick’s Pub in Pittsfield on the line during a friendly bet on the Australian Open.

The rules are these – we each pick five men and five women for the length of the tournament. Players earn one point for each win. Martinelli won the Federer flip, er coin flip, and the draft proceeded like this.

1. MM – Roger Federer (He’s had the flu, but he’s as sure a thing as you can get).
2. CC – Justine Henin (Not the best ever like Federer, but she’s the only reliable woman).
3. MM – Rafael Nadal (Last year, I would have taken him at No. 2, but he’s been injured lately).
4. CC – Andy Roddick (Looked fantastic in his tune-up, but he has the last three years).
5. MM – Novak Djokovic (Supposedly the next big thing, but he’s on Federer’s side of the draw).
6. CC – Svetlana Kuznetsova (Can’t beat the stars, but there are none in her quarter of the draw)
7. MM – Venus Williams (Pretty simple draw and always a threat to win. Great choice).
8. CC – Jelena Jankovic (First real scare of the first round but I survive 12-10 in the third set with the No. 3 seed).
9. MM — Fernando Gonzalez (Federer and Gonzalez should give him this quarter of the draw).
10. CC – David Nalbandian (Never seems to miss the quarters and ended last year on a roll).
11. MM – Serena Williams (A threat to win. Or flame out early).
12. CC -- Nikolay Davydenko (One of the most hated players around a the moment. Who knows how he’ll respond to the match-fixing allegations? He’s OK with me as long as he doesn’t withdraw under suspicious circumstances).
13. MM – Ana Ivanovic (If Venus doesn’t take this side, Ivanovic should)
14. CC – Anna Chakvetadze (Didn’t realize she’d been taken hostage in her home in a frightening home invasion in the offseason. No idea where her head will be.)
15. MM – Maria Sharapova (Unreal that she lasted this long. We were both afraid of her second-round matchup with Lindsay Davenport, though the way Lindsay looked on Day One, Matt’s going to have a steal.
16. CC – Daniela Hantuchova (She completes my team of Russian women)
17. MM – Andy Murray (I laughed when he picked him because the Brits are always soft away from Wimbledon. I’m laughing even harder now. The first blow was struck with Murray getting bounced by Frenchman Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, a player quietly ranked 38th in the world and dubbed the Muhammad Ali of tennis because of his resemblance to the American boxer.
18. CC — David Ferrer (He’s a grinder who never loses early).
19. MM – Elena Dementieva (Another veteran that doesn’t lose early).
20. CC – Richard Gasquet (Great draw got even better with Murray’s loss. It also scratches the first likely head-to-head matchup).

— C.C.

January 11, 2008

Postseason predictions

Well, Matt Martinelli and Chris Carlson have predicted the winners against the spread at 60 percent the past two years, so let's see how they fare in the postseason.

They agree on the Packers, Patriots, Colts and Cowboys. So does Howard Herman, though, and that hasn't been a good sign as far as future fortunes.

All four picked the home teams and the favorites. Think you can do better than our three football experts and the rest of the county? Are you at least a little braver? Post your bold predictions for all to see.

-- C.C.

Chris Carlson
Seattle at Green Bay — I don’t like either of these teams as much as their records, but the idea of providing Brett Favre a grand hurrah should galvanize the Packers enough to win this one. They’ll need to keep Patrick Kearney off Favre, but a more-balanced offensive attack than Seattle’s should manage just that.
Pick: Packers 27, Seahawks 24.

Jacksonville at New England — On the Del Rio wagon. Then off. On again. Now off. I’ve talked up Jacksonville’s chances of beating New England for two weeks, but the injuries to the Jags’ front four hurt their chances of rushing four and dropping seven against the pass immensely. David Gerrard didn’t play like a playoff quarterback last week, so if the Jags fall behind, they’re cooked.
Pick: Pats 38, Jags 14.

San Diego at Indianapolis — Indianapolis nearly beat San Diego earlier in the year with Peyton Manning throwing six interceptions. What are the odds of that happening again — ever? If the Colts nearly survived that, they should have no problem getting through to the AFC Championship.
Pick: Colts 31, Chargers 21.

N.Y. Giants at Dallas — If you’re Jessica Simpson, who do you take, Tony “Wonderful” Romo or Michael “The Gap-Toothed Wonder” Strahan. Both would like a piece of the blonde beauty. Simpson took the Cowboy and so will I. She’s always seemed like a bright gal.... Wait, what?
Pick: Cowboys 35, Giants 24.

Howard Herman
Seattle at Green Bay — The Seahawks come to Wisconsin, home of Mike Holmgren Way and Vince Lombardi Street. Think Holmgren’s team has a chance against a city that has already honored him? Think again.
Pick: Packers 27-20.

Jacksonville at New England — The Jaguars are the chic pick this weekend. After all, aren’t the Jags the team that’ll play very physical football and run the ball down your throat? Remember this, the Jaguars are the same team that almost blew the game last Saturday to a Pittsburgh Steeler team that was missing five starters. Last time I looked, the Patriots aren’t missing any starters.
Pick: Patriots, 38-14.

San Diego at Indianapolis
The Chargers did beat the Colts in a regular-season game that had Peyton Manning throw six, count ‘em, six interceptions. That game got Tony Dungy’s attention, and one thing with a Dungy-coached team, it usually doesn’t make the same mistake — or mistakes — twice.
Pick: Colts, 42-10.

N.Y. Giants at Dallas
The most interesting game of the weekend — two good teams and two traditional rivals. On paper, the Cowboys are the better team, but so was New England, and we saw how well the Giants played against the Pats. The Cowboys aren’t the Pats — but Eli Manning isn’t his brother. Methinks the magic carpet ride is about to come to an end. But pull for the Giants if you must. If they win we won’t have to hear about Tony Romo and Jessica Simpson any more.
Pick: Cowboys, 17-13.

Matt Martinelli
Seattle at Green Bay — Seattle was lucky to have made it out of last week’s game, as they let Washington back into the game. Too bad they won’t have the luxury of losing a lead this weekend. As long as Brett Favre plays the supporting role to RB Ryan Grant, he’ll be back in the conference finals.
Pick: Packers 34, Seahawks 14

Jacksonville at New England — This game will be decided in the first 10 minutes. Jacksonville needs to get ahead early. The only problem — New England has allowed a touchdown on an opponent’s opening drive just once all season. Brady and Welker will connect for an early lead, and the Patriots will send Jacksonville home from the playoffs once more.
Pick: Patriots 38, Jaguars 24

San Diego at Indianapolis — When they met earlier this season, there were all sorts of flukes, including six picks from Peyton Manning. Despite all that, the Colts still should’ve won if it wasn’t for a shank by Vinatieri. His old leg won’t be a factor this time.
Pick: Colts 35, San Diego 17

N.Y. Giants at Dallas — Will T.O. play? Will he not play? He played on a broken leg in Super Bowl XXXIX, so I think he’ll go on a bum ankle. Look for Dallas’ aerial attack to be too much for the Giants. If it’s not, then Marion Barber will scoot past them. The Giants looked bad early last week and they can’t afford to play even with late-game peaking Cowboys for the first half.
Pick: Dallas 27, Giants 20